Saturday, March 11, 2006

Brownback fails in SRLC straw vote

Hotline On Call: SRLC Straw Poll: Frist Wins; Romney Second:
Bill Frist 36.9
Mitt Romney 14.4
George Allen 10.3
Pres. Bush (write in) 10.3
John McCain 4.6
Mike Huckabee 3.8
Write In (Not GB/CR) 3.0
George Pataki 2.7
Condi Rice (write in) 2.2
Sam Brownback 1.5
Rudy Giuliani 1.1
Newt Gingrich 0.9
Chuck Hagel0.2

I'd say that getting half the vote of "None of the above" is a pretty bad sign.

This is just a straw poll, so the whole thing is fairly meaningless. Bill Frist did well in his native state, and the vote for Bush is essentially the same as voting for Mickey Mouse, since he's term limited. When Frist voters were asked for a second choice, a quarter offered none and Brownback's percentage went from 1.5 to 2.4, still well behind all three write-ins.

Does this mean Kitty-killer Frist, Mitt Romney, or George Allen will be the next Republican nominee? No, but they were the front-runners before and they will be afterward. Does it mean Brownback is doomed? Again – no, but he was never more than footnote to the race. Had Brownback done very well, it would have been a sign that Republican party activists would get worked up about his candidacy, and might have given his campaign some added oomph. As it is, no one really did much different than you'd expect.