Thursday, March 02, 2006

The MyDD Poll and the Kansas Roots

I'll be watching the analysis of the MyDD Poll carefully, because it's an interesting approach. They used answers on an array of questions to identify various cohesive groups. There is a Red Core, fully a third of the electorate who are basically ready to do whatever Bush/Rove/Rush/Coulter tell them to. There are Progressives, Urban Blues, and a Blue Core, which together account for 31%. Trusting Boomers count for 6%, and basically go along with the President, but take a different set of stands than the Red Core. Then we have the two groups that interest me most, Heartland Blue and Heartland Red.

Together, they account for 20% of the electorate, with Blues pulling 12% and Reds getting 8% (call it a tie for statistical purposes). On right direction/wrong direction, the Blues line up with the Progressives, 70% wrong direction. Half of the Reds think we're going in the right direction, a third go for wrong.

Obviously, I'm most interested in the results from the NSA spying/WMD. The Red Core and Trusting Boomers oppose an investigation (80% and 67%, respectively), while Progressives, Urban Blue and Blue Core solidly support an investigation (80%, 90%, 90%, respectively).

It's the heartland that's really divided (though Boomers are iffy). Of Heartland Blues, 56% support an investigation into the warrantless wiretapping and/or the WMD in Iraq (I'm not sure how the question was asked), 11% aren't sure, and a third oppose an investigation. Of Heartland Reds, a third favor an investigation, 17% aren't sure, and half oppose it.

This issue genuinely divides the Heartland. We see it in letters to the editor, we see it in the blogosphere, and we see it in our congressional delegation.

This is why we need hearings. Whatever the merits of the case, whatever the status of the law, the public is divided, and the government can bring people together by educating us.

Write your letters.

In related news, the Roots Project is rolling on to Maine and Nebraska.

Update: Another poll is out:

Voters in "purple states," 12 states in which there was a popular vote margin of 5 percentage points or less in the 2004 Presidential election, plus Missouri, considered the most accurate barometer of Presidential voting, want wiretap warrants 57 - 39 percent.

Red states, where President George W. Bush's margin was more than 5 percent in 2004, disagree 51 - 46 percent with the President that the government does not need warrants. Blue state voters who backed John Kerry by more than 5 percent want warrants 57 - 40 percent, the independent Quinnipia University poll finds.
Hold hearings!